Thursday, October 22, 2020

Project Big Picture, Covid-19 and the frailty of English Football Finance

Editor's Note: The Public Interest Section of the American Accounting Association is pleased to publish the following blog post by Dr Rob Wilson & Dr Daniel Plumley from Sheffield Business School, Sheffield Hallam University, Sheffield, UK. Please contact lawrence.chui@stthomas.edu with questions, comments, or suggestions about our blog, or to express interest in our organization. Disclaimer: When you read the comments of our columnists, please keep in mind that they only speak for themselves. They are not expressing the positions of the AAA or of any other party.

 

Covid-19 has unmasked the frailty of the English football financial model. A host of professional clubs in the football pyramid on the brink of financial collapse. The UK government has persisted with its ban on allowing fans to attend live events, which cuts off the lifeblood of the ticket revenue that ensures clubs can meet their financial obligations. Yet, English club finances were bleak well before Covid.

Since the formation of the English Premier League (EPL) in 1992 and the lucrative broadcasting revenues that have followed, the financial gap between the ‘bigger’ clubs and the rest has continued to grow. In this regard, the recent discussion regarding Project Big Picture (a motion tabled by the US owners of Liverpool and Manchester United to revisit the governance structure of the EPL broadcast revenue distribution), labelled a sugar coated cyanide pill, has raised further eyebrows surrounding its financial implications for a number of clubs. Ironically, it is the power and dominance of clubs such as Liverpool and Manchester United that is in part the issue.

Revenue distribution (from the EPL TV deal) in the English football pyramid is a major problem and leads to significant financial inequality between the EPL and the English Football League (EFL). It has also contributed to a decline in competitive balance in the pyramid. On the face of it, there are some positives to Project Big Picture that can address these issues. A £250m bailout to the EFL would not only be welcome but necessary for some lower league clubs to survive. Similarly, the proposed distribution formula of 25% of future EPL broadcasting revenue to the EFL is a positive step. Reducing the EPL to 18 teams could, theoretically lead to stronger competitive balance; good news for future revenue generation if we accept that competitive balance, and uncertainty of outcome, drives revenue. Perhaps most importantly, Project Big Picture proposes to scrap parachute payments which are destructive to competition (especially in the Championship) and help fuel inequality.

However, clubs outside the wealthy elite should be troubled by changes to the voting rights proposal. This is another land grab by the clubs that feed at the top table and destabilises the foundations of the football pyramid. The ‘big 6’ clubs have already taken more share of the international television money and reducing the number of teams needed to pass a collective vote will only be to the detriment of the smaller clubs in the league system.

The devil, as always, is in the detail and all may not be what it seems linked to these proposals. Further detail regarding the 25% of future broadcast revenues for the EFL revealed cause for concern. It stated that clubs promoted from the EFL will have £25m deducted from their TV money for the first 2 seasons in the EPL and this is then returned when/if they are relegated. This system effectively retains a parachute payment and, importantly, reduces the ability of promoted clubs to compete in the EPL. Additionally, the total number of games sold to broadcasters in the future will be smaller as the proposals will also allow clubs to sell up to eight of their own games through their own broadcasting channels. The 25% of the total pot to share between the other 72 clubs continues to shrink as the finer details emerge.

Project Big Picture appears to be over before it has started, and talk has quickly moved to a European Football League (an idea that has been on/off the table for the last two decades). This time, it appears to have FIFA’s backing and is reportedly being supported by Wall Street banking giant JP Morgan to the tune of $6bn. It would see a move to a US style sports model for European football and, unsurprisingly, the American owners at Liverpool and Manchester United have been mentioned as the driving force behind the proposals. UEFA, European footballs governing body will reject the proposals, seeing it as a direct threat to their flagship Champions League competition.

Meanwhile, the lack of balance in English footballs financial equation remains. Clubs continue to make poor financial decisions, becoming emotionally involved in spending more than they earn. A trait more commonly found in regular business sectors. Were clubs run as a genuine going concern, there would be no need for a bailout in the first place. But, perhaps this is a question better addressed to the auditors of the clubs in distress? Some have argued that Project Big Picture provides financial sustainability when, in fact, the opposite is probably true. It would simply enable a continuation of the status quo, potentially fuelling a new wave of reckless spending.

If Project Big Picture has underlined one thing it is that English football is crying out for a reboot. It needs more effective financial regulation, fairer distribution of revenue and salary caps to force owners into making better choices. Clubs need to work collectively to preserve their product, casting aside self-interest in the winner takes all scenario. It’s an alien concept for business leaders that chase profit maximisation and market domination and needs external intervention from finance professionals. Without competition in football, there is no product for fans to buy.